Friday, October 29, 2004

Fatal campaign gaffe for Kerry?

Perhaps "fatal" is overstating it, but Dick Morris thinks it's not.

Morris does have good points, though, about Kerry shifting focus of the campaign back to Bush's perceived strengths. However, to be fair, Morris has been all over the map. Early summer, he was predicting a Kerry win. Right before the debates, he said it was over for Kerry. After the first debate, he said Bush had lost the election ("talked himself out of the presidency", to be exact). Now, he's back to picking Bush again.

Granted, it's been a seesaw election, and Morris looks silly by using such definitive predictions, as if each was a foregone conclusion. However, all pundits like Morris' insight, even if they disagree with his ultimate conclusions.

Also, I unfortunately think that Morris gives the electorate too much credit in how much news they consume. I don't know that the average Joe/Jane knows that the weapons disappeared before our troops got there, or that the Russians may have moved them. My guess is that they've seen the CBS-NYT collaboration (as parroted by The Poodle himself), and all they know is "Weapons disappeared. Must be Bush's fault." Hopefully, I'll be proven wrong on this.